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2026 U.S. Midterm Elections

The 2026 races, read straight.

Every public poll, aggregated and averaged — open-source, ad-free, and nonpartisan, with the method published and every source linked.

Open sourceAd-freeNo ad-trackingMethod published
How we aggregateEditorial standardsTracking 70 races across 46 states
Safe DLikely DLean DTossupLean RLikely RSafe RWhat these ratings mean
View map data as a table
2026 race ratings by state — the data shown on the map above
StateRaces & ratings
AlabamaGovernor: Safe R; Senate: Safe R
AlaskaGovernor: Lean R; Senate: Lean R
ArizonaGovernor: Tossup
ArkansasGovernor: Safe R; Senate: Safe R
CaliforniaGovernor: Safe D
ColoradoGovernor: Safe D; Senate: Safe D
ConnecticutGovernor: Safe D
DelawareSenate: Safe D
FloridaGovernor: Safe R
GeorgiaGovernor: Lean R; Senate: Lean D
HawaiiGovernor: Safe D
IdahoGovernor: Safe R; Senate: Safe R
IllinoisGovernor: Safe D; Senate: Safe D
IowaGovernor: Lean R; Senate: Likely R
KansasGovernor: Tossup; Senate: Safe R
KentuckySenate: Safe R
LouisianaSenate: Safe R
MaineGovernor: Lean D; Senate: Lean R
MarylandGovernor: Safe D
MassachusettsGovernor: Safe D; Senate: Safe D
MichiganGovernor: Lean D; Senate: Tossup
MinnesotaGovernor: Lean D; Senate: Likely D
MississippiSenate: Safe R
MontanaSenate: Safe R
NationalNational: Tossup
NebraskaGovernor: Safe R; Senate: Likely R
NevadaGovernor: Tossup
New HampshireGovernor: Likely R; Senate: Lean D
New JerseySenate: Safe D
New MexicoGovernor: Likely D; Senate: Safe D
New YorkGovernor: Likely D
North CarolinaSenate: Likely R
OhioGovernor: Lean R
OklahomaGovernor: Safe R; Senate: Safe R
OregonGovernor: Lean D; Senate: Safe D
PennsylvaniaGovernor: Likely D
Rhode IslandGovernor: Safe D; Senate: Safe D
South CarolinaGovernor: Safe R; Senate: Safe R
South DakotaGovernor: Safe R; Senate: Safe R
TennesseeGovernor: Safe R; Senate: Safe R
TexasGovernor: Safe R; Senate: Likely R
VermontGovernor: Likely R
VirginiaSenate: Safe D
West VirginiaSenate: Safe R
WisconsinGovernor: Tossup
WyomingGovernor: Safe R; Senate: Safe R

All States

Browse every state's 2026 election hub — races, polls, and ratings.

Follow the 2026 races

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Pollster Accuracy

Tracking how close 2026 polls came to the actual results.

We score each pollster's final pre-election poll against called results once enough races are decided (at least five per pollster). This is observed accuracy — it is display-only and does not affect our pollster grades or polling averages. Per-pollster ratings will appear here as primaries certify.