Arizona
Arizona Governor 2026
Toss-UpPrimaryIncumbent: Katie Hobbs (D)
Incumbent Katie Hobbs is seeking re-election in Arizona, where recent statewide margins have been narrow. Decision Labs rates the race a tossup.
Democratic Primary
Katie Hobbs
Incumbent Governor of Arizona
48.0%
Republican Primary
Andy Biggs
U.S. Representative, AZ-05
49.8%
Karrin Taylor Robson
Real estate executive, 2022 gubernatorial candidate
37.0%
David Schweikert
U.S. Representative, AZ-01
11.8%
Polling
Polling Average
Polling average as of May 18, 2026 · updated 23 days ago
Polling trend chart from 2025-02-25 to 2026-05-18. Latest averages: Andy Biggs 49.8%, David Schweikert 11.8%, Karrin Taylor Robson 37.0%, Katie Hobbs 48.0%.
Recent Polls(11)
| Pop | Biggs | Hobbs | Robson | Schweikert | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Stealth Analyticsunrated | 1,100 | LV | 55% | — | — | 9% |
| 2026-05-15 | Noble Predictive Insightsunrated | 375 | RV | 48% | — | — | 18% |
| 2026-04-29 | TIPPunrated | 1,159 | LV | 38% | 48% | — | — |
| 2026-04-16 | NextGenPunrated | 1,255 | RV | 52% | — | — | 10% |
| 2026-03-04 | Noble Predictive Insightsunrated | 384 | RV | 40% | — | — | 19% |
| 2025-11-14 | Emerson Collegeunrated | 381 | RV | 50% | — | — | 8% |
| 2025-11-06 | Grayhouseunrated | 397 | LV | 43% | — | — | 2% |
| 2025-08-29 | Noble Predictive Insightsunrated | 948 | RV | 37% | 39% | — | — |
| 2025-08-28 | Noble Predictive Insightsunrated | 385 | RV | 27% | — | 37% | — |
| 2025-05-29 | Noble Predictive Insightsunrated | 1,026 | RV | 38% | 40% | — | — |
| 2025-02-25 | Noble Predictive Insightsunrated | 1,006 | RV | 38% | 40% | — | — |