Arizona

Arizona Governor 2026

Toss-UpPrimary

Incumbent: Katie Hobbs (D)

Incumbent Katie Hobbs is in a true tossup re-election fight in Arizona. This governor's race could go either way and will be a top target for both parties.

Democratic Primary
Katie Hobbs
Incumbent Governor of Arizona
39.0%
Republican Primary
Andy Biggs
U.S. Representative, AZ-05
40.0%
Karrin Taylor Robson
Real estate executive, 2022 gubernatorial candidate
37.0%
David Schweikert
U.S. Representative, AZ-01
18.9%

Polling

Polling Average

Recent Polls(7)

PopBiggsHobbsRobsonSchweikert
2026-03-04Noble Predictive Insights384RV40%19%
2025-11-14Emerson College381RV50%8%
2025-11-06Grayhouse397LV43%2%
2025-08-29Noble Predictive Insights948RV37%39%
2025-08-28Noble Predictive Insights385RV27%37%
2025-05-29Noble Predictive Insights1,026RV38%40%
2025-02-25Noble Predictive Insights1,006RV38%40%

Prediction Markets