Oregon
Oregon Senate 2026
Safe DGeneralIncumbent: Jeff Merkley (D)
Incumbent Jeff Merkley is favored to win re-election in Oregon, though the opposition is expected to mount a credible challenge.
Primary resultReported
Jeff Merkley (D)David Brock Smith (R)
Reported by Washington Post · May 19, 2026 · unofficial
Awaiting a second independent source before we mark this race called.
Polling below predates this result.
Jeff Merkley
U.S. Senator (incumbent)
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David Brock Smith
State Senator
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Jo Rae Perkins
Former Linn County GOP chair; 2020 Senate nominee
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Historical Context
Last Election (2022)
Ron Wyden won by 17.2 pts
Ron Wyden
55.8%
Jo Rae Perkins
38.6%
Presidential Lean
2024D+7.7
2020D+16.1
2016D+11.0
DR
Expert Ratings
Cook Political:Likely D
Sabato:Likely D
Split Ticket:Likely D
State Profile
Pop: 4.2M
Med. Age: 39.9
Urban: 81%
College: 35.5%
Racial / Ethnic Breakdown
White 78.7%Black 1.9%Hispanic 13.8%Asian 4.4%Other 1.2%
Polling Status
No senate polling data available for this race yet. Historical context and expert ratings are shown above.
Prediction Markets
No prediction market data available