Louisiana

Louisiana Senate 2026

Safe RRunoff

Incumbent: Bill Cassidy (R)

Louisiana holds partisan U.S. Senate primaries on May 16, with a runoff if no candidate wins a majority. The race is rated safe Republican.

Primary resultRunoff pending

Julia Letlow (R)John Fleming (R)Gary Crockett (D)Jamie Davis (D)

Projected by CNN, NBC News, NPR · May 16, 2026 · unofficial

Closed party primaries (new for 2026). Incumbent Bill Cassidy (R) was eliminated (third). Both parties advanced to a June 27, 2026 runoff — Republican: Julia Letlow v. John Fleming; Democratic: Gary Crockett v. Jamie Davis. No nominee yet.

Polling below predates this result.

Julia Letlow

U.S. Representative, LA-5; Trump-endorsed

44.1%

John Fleming

Louisiana State Treasurer, former U.S. Representative

34.7%

Bill Cassidy

U.S. Senator from Louisiana (incumbent)

20.3%

Polling

Polling Average

Polling average as of May 22, 2026 · updated 4 days ago

Recent Polls(6)

Harper Polling

2026-05-22

n 457LV

Letlow52%

Fleming35%

Cassidy—

Quantus Insights

2026-05-17

n 1,015LV

Letlow45%

Fleming40%

Cassidy—

Quantus Insights

2026-05-08

n 1,015LV

Letlow42%

Fleming30%

Cassidy20%

Emerson College

2026-04-30

n 500LV

Letlow27%

Fleming28%

Cassidy21%

American Pulse

2026-03-25

n 455LV

Letlow31%

Fleming25%

Cassidy21%

Quantus Insights

2026-02-25

n 1,428LV

Letlow25%

Fleming34%

Cassidy20%

			Pop	Letlow	Fleming	Cassidy
2026-05-22	Harper Polling	457	LV	52%	35%	—
2026-05-17	Quantus Insights	1,015	LV	45%	40%	—
2026-05-08	Quantus Insights	1,015	LV	42%	30%	20%
2026-04-30	Emerson College	500	LV	27%	28%	21%
2026-03-25	American Pulse	455	LV	31%	25%	21%
2026-02-25	Quantus Insights	1,428	LV	25%	34%	20%

Prediction Markets

No prediction market data available